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RB · MIN · Minnesota Vikings · Bye 6

Aaron Jones

ADP 10.12 · 120 · Underdog / consensus 2026-08-18

12-team, half PPR, redraft, 1QB

Compare

Last three years

Regular season. College years are labeled NCAA.

YearTeamGAttRush ydsRush TDRecRec ydsRec TD
2025NFLMIN121325482281991
2024NFLMIN172551,1385514082
2023NFLGB111426562302331

NFL from nflverse regular-season totals. College from ESPN. Target share is of team targets in the games the player played (NFL WR/TE only).

Earlier+3 picksConviction mediumData high

Projected Vikings RB2 behind Mason. The lead job is still a camp question.

Murray's legs are additive, not a scheme reboot. Murray is the likely starter in O'Connell's offense. Competition not fully dead.

ADP
10.12 (120)
Target
10.09
Move
+3
As of
2026-08-25

What changed

4 real changes. The rest held.

Backfield

neutralmedium

Was 2025 backs

Now Aaron Jones / Jordan Mason; QB runs may nibble goal-line

QB runs may nibble goal-line.

Quarterback

upgradehigh

Was J.J. McCarthy / 2025 mix

Now Kyler Murray signed; McCarthy still on the roster

Murray is the likely starter in O'Connell's offense. Competition not fully dead.

Scheme & pace

upgrademedium

Was O'Connell play-action / defined reads

Now Same playbook, more designed QB run possible

Murray's legs are additive, not a scheme reboot.

Pass catchers

upgrademedium

Was Jefferson remains WR1

Now Jefferson remains WR1 with a dual-threat quarterback

Murray can extend plays more than a pocket passer.

Continuity

Play caller

neutrallow

Was Kevin O'Connell

Now O'Connell still calling plays; Wes Phillips OC

Same staff. Murray's dual-threat is new to this building.

Head coach

neutralnone

Was Kevin O'Connell

Now Kevin O'Connell

Same HC.

Pass blocking

neutrallow

Was Darrisaw–Donovan Jackson–Brandel–Fries–O'Neill

Now LT Christian Darrisaw, LG Donovan Jackson, C Blake Brandel, RG Will Fries, RT Brian O'Neill

Named five is intact.

Run blocking

neutrallow

Was Same five

Now Same five

No new bodies. Run blocking is continuity.

Tight end

neutrallow

Was 2025 TE room

Now O'Connell TEs stay involved

No headline TE change.

Team environment

neutrallow

Was O'Connell competitive NFC North

Now Same

Competitive scripts.

Vacated volume

Targets
Carries
Red zone
Air yards

No high-confidence vacated-volume number published. Role change matters more than a target count.

Competition added

No meaningful new competition sourced.

This player

Projected role
Projected Vikings RB2 behind Mason. The lead job is still a camp question.
Usage
The lead job is still a camp question. Usage is a split until someone takes it.
Injury
No Week 1 absence reported as of August 20, 2026.
Contract
Not flagged as a 2026 hold-in.
Camp
Training camp underway as of August 2026. Week 1 is September.

Upside

Murray's legs are additive, not a scheme reboot. Murray is the likely starter in O'Connell's offense. Competition not fully dead.

Downside

Camp could still change the job before Week 1.

Risks

  • Most of this looks like last year. Watch for a quiet camp role change.low

Sources

No source URLs were returned with this brief.

Notes come from the 2026 coaching and roster board (team sites, NFL.com, ESPN, The Athletic). Hold is the default when ADP already has the news.