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QB · TB · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Bye 10

Baker Mayfield

ADP 11.07 · 127 · Underdog / consensus 2026-08-18

12-team, half PPR, redraft, 1QB

Compare

Last three years

Regular season. College years are labeled NCAA.

YearTeamGC/APass ydsPass TDINTRush ydsRush TD
2025NFLTB17343/5433,69326113821
2024NFLTB17407/5704,50041163783
2023NFLTB17364/5664,04428101631

NFL from nflverse regular-season totals. College from ESPN. Target share is of team targets in the games the player played (NFL WR/TE only).

Later-3 picksConviction mediumData high

Projected Buccaneers starter.

Mauch's return is the personnel add. Wirfs' hamstring is the watch. Evans's targets have to go somewhere.

ADP
11.07 (127)
Target
11.10
Move
-3
As of
2026-08-25

What changed

5 real changes. The rest held.

Pass blocking

upgrademedium

Was Wirfs / Goedeke; Mauch out all 2025 (knee)

Now LT Tristan Wirfs (working back from a hamstring in conditioning), LG Ben Bredeson, C Graham Barton, RG Cody Mauch (back from missing all of 2025), RT Luke Goedeke

Mauch's return is the personnel add. Wirfs' hamstring is the watch.

Play caller

neutralmedium

Was 2025 Bucs staff

Now Zac Robinson calls (ex-Falcons OC, McVay tree)

Balanced, motion, 11 personnel. Baker has a prior Rams link.

Run blocking

upgrademedium

Was Mauch missing; Wirfs/Goedeke bookends

Now Mauch back at RG; Wirfs ramping from a hamstring

Interior help is Mauch. Wirfs being managed is the offset.

Pass catchers

downgradehigh

Was Mike Evans as the WR1; Egbuka / Godwin / McMillan

Now Evans signed with San Francisco; new WR hierarchy

Evans's targets have to go somewhere.

Backfield

neutralmedium

Was Bucky Irving

Now Irving is the higher board back; lead-back picture is a camp question

Lead-back picture is a camp question.

Continuity

Quarterback

neutralnone

Was Baker Mayfield

Now Baker Mayfield

Locked starter.

Head coach

neutralnone

Was Todd Bowles

Now Todd Bowles

Same HC.

Scheme & pace

neutrallow

Was 2025 Bucs

Now Robinson: above-average pace, heavy motion

McVay-tree without being a reboot.

Tight end

neutrallow

Was Cade Otton

Now Otton re-signed; McVay-tree TEs involved

No headline TE change.

Team environment

neutrallow

Was Bowles competitive NFC South

Now Same

Middle-to-positive scripts.

Vacated volume

Targets
Carries
Red zone
Air yards
  • Mike Evans · WR1 · Targets and red-zone looks to San Francisco

Mike Evans is in San Francisco. That volume has to go somewhere.

Competition added

No meaningful new competition sourced.

This player

Projected role
Projected Buccaneers starter.
Usage
McVay-tree without being a reboot.
Injury
No Week 1 absence reported as of August 20, 2026.
Contract
Not flagged as a 2026 hold-in.
Camp
Training camp underway as of August 2026. Week 1 is September.

Upside

Mauch's return is the personnel add. Wirfs' hamstring is the watch.

Downside

Evans's targets have to go somewhere.

Risks

  • Most of this looks like last year. Watch for a quiet camp role change.low

Sources

No source URLs were returned with this brief.

Notes come from the 2026 coaching and roster board (team sites, NFL.com, ESPN, The Athletic). Hold is the default when ADP already has the news.