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WR · BUF · Buffalo Bills · Bye 7

Khalil Shakir

ADP 11.09 · 129 · Underdog / consensus 2026-08-18

12-team, half PPR, redraft, 1QB

Compare

Last three years

Regular season. College years are labeled NCAA.

YearTeamGRecYdsTDTgtTgt %
2025NFLBUF167271949521.1%
2024NFLBUF1576821410023.0%
2023NFLBUF16396112458.9%

NFL from nflverse regular-season totals. College from ESPN. Target share is of team targets in the games the player played (NFL WR/TE only).

HoldPriced inConviction highData high

Bills slot / WR2. Moore is the new boundary X.

Role continuity, new WR1 next to him. ADP should already know Moore is here.

ADP
11.09 (129)
Target
11.09
Move
0
As of
2026-08-25

What changed

2 real changes. The rest held.

Head coach

neutralmedium

Was Sean McDermott (fired after 2025)

Now Joe Brady (promoted from OC)

New HC, same play-caller. Not a scheme reboot.

Pass catchers

upgrademedium

Was Kincaid / Shakir / Coleman / Palmer mix

Now DJ Moore traded in from Chicago; Shakir, Keon Coleman, Joshua Palmer still there

Moore is the new X. The scheme did not change.

Continuity

Quarterback

neutralnone

Was Josh Allen

Now Josh Allen (Kyle Allen signed as backup)

Locked QB1. January 2026 fifth-metatarsal cleanup; in camp and throwing.

Play caller

neutrallow

Was Joe Brady as OC

Now Joe Brady still calls it as HC; Pete Carmichael Jr. is OC

Brady said from day one he keeps the headset. Carmichael game-plans, does not replace the caller.

Scheme & pace

neutrallow

Was Brady 2025 ~54% pass, league-leading rush attempts

Now Projected slightly more run (~51% pass), still Brady

James Cook and Allen's designed runs stay central.

Pass blocking

neutrallow

Was Dawkins–Anderson–McGovern–Torrence–Brown

Now LT Dion Dawkins, LG Alec Anderson (vs Austin Corbett), C Connor McGovern, RG O'Cyrus Torrence, RT Spencer Brown

Four return; David Edwards left. LG is Anderson vs Corbett — a competition, not a rebuild.

Run blocking

neutrallow

Was Same five; Edwards at LG

Now Edwards gone; Anderson/Corbett for LG. Other four return.

Continuity holds.

Tight end

neutrallow

Was Dalton Kincaid lead, Dawson Knox

Now Kincaid / Knox unchanged; Knox extended

No TE competition of note. Kincaid remains the pass-game TE.

Backfield

neutrallow

Was James Cook III, Ray Davis, Ty Johnson

Now Cook III still the lead; Davis the change-of-pace

No high-capital back added. Cook's role is intact.

Team environment

neutrallow

Was McDermott perennial AFC contender

Now Brady year one, still a top roster

Win total and script stay in the positive-game-script bucket.

Vacated volume

Targets
—
Carries
—
Red zone
—
Air yards
—

No star skill departure. Volume is redistributed toward DJ Moore, not vacated.

Competition added

  • DJ Mooremedium

    trade · trade from Chicago

    New X next to Shakir and Kincaid.

This player

Projected role
Bills slot / WR2. Moore is the new boundary X.
Usage
Shakir's slot work should survive; Coleman/Palmer are the ones on the bubble.
Injury
No Week 1 absence reported as of August 2026.
Contract
On roster as a core skill piece.
Camp
Still involved in camp 11-on-11s with Allen.

Upside

Slot role in a Brady/Allen offense is stable even with Moore.

Downside

Moore is a proven volume WR. Shakir's ceiling as a target leader is capped.

Risks

  • Moore is a new primary target next to Shakir.medium

Sources

Notes come from the 2026 coaching and roster board (team sites, NFL.com, ESPN, The Athletic). Hold is the default when ADP already has the news.