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QB · KC · Kansas City Chiefs · Bye 5

Patrick Mahomes

ADP 9.01 · 97 · Underdog / consensus 2026-08-18

12-team, half PPR, redraft, 1QB

Compare

Last three years

Regular season. College years are labeled NCAA.

YearTeamGC/APass ydsPass TDINTRush ydsRush TD
2025NFLKC14315/5023,58722114225
2024NFLKC16392/5813,92826113072
2023NFLKC16401/5974,1832714389

NFL from nflverse regular-season totals. College from ESPN. Target share is of team targets in the games the player played (NFL WR/TE only).

HoldPriced inConviction highData high

Projected Chiefs starter.

Staff and depth chart are unchanged.

ADP
9.01 (97)
Target
9.01
Move
0
As of
2026-08-25

What changed

7 real changes. The rest held.

Pass blocking

neutralmedium

Was Simmons–Suamataia–Humphrey–Trey Smith–RT

Now LT Josh Simmons, LG Kingsley Suamataia, C Creed Humphrey, RG Trey Smith (hip — sent to a specialist), RT Jaylon Moore vs Esa Pole

Humphrey/Smith are the AFC's best interior if Smith is healthy. RT is open. Smith's hip is the watch.

Play caller

neutralmedium

Was Andy Reid / Matt Nagy

Now Reid still calling plays; Eric Bieniemy back as OC

Bieniemy returns. Reid does not outsource the offense.

Scheme & pace

neutralmedium

Was Reid 2025 ~65% pass

Now Bieniemy historically juiced the run; projected ~58% pass

Slight run tilt would help the backfield more than the WRs.

Run blocking

neutralmedium

Was Humphrey / Trey Smith interior

Now Same interior; Smith's hip is the only new variable. RT still a camp job.

Run blocking is this interior staying on the field, not Bieniemy.

Pass catchers

neutralmedium

Was 2025 Chiefs WRs / Kelce

Now Same core; Kelce re-signed

No WR1-level addition published.

Tight end

neutralmedium

Was Travis Kelce

Now Kelce remains the lead tight end

Kelce is a year older, not a new signing.

Backfield

upgrademedium

Was 2025 Chiefs backs

Now Kenneth Walker signed; Bieniemy is a former RBs coach

Walker is the new lead-back name.

Continuity

Quarterback

neutralnone

Was Patrick Mahomes

Now Patrick Mahomes; Justin Fields acquired as backup

Locked starter. Fields is insurance, not a live Week 1 threat.

Head coach

neutralnone

Was Andy Reid

Now Andy Reid

Same HC.

Team environment

neutrallow

Was Reid perennial Super Bowl orbit

Now Same AFC West gauntlet

Positive scripts remain the base case.

Vacated volume

Targets
Carries
Red zone
Air yards

No star skill departure that changes this quarterback's job.

Competition added

  • Kenneth Walker IIIlow

    free agency · veteran starter money

    New weapon, not competition. New lead back in a Bieniemy run tilt.

This player

Projected role
Projected Chiefs starter.
Usage
Slight run tilt would help the backfield more than the WRs.
Injury
No Week 1 absence reported as of August 20, 2026.
Contract
Not flagged as a 2026 hold-in.
Camp
Training camp underway as of August 2026. Week 1 is September.

Upside

Humphrey/Smith are the AFC's best interior if Smith is healthy. RT is open. Smith's hip is the watch. No WR1-level addition published.

Downside

Camp could still change the job before Week 1.

Risks

  • Most of this looks like last year. Watch for a quiet camp role change.low

Sources

No source URLs were returned with this brief.

Notes come from the 2026 coaching and roster board (team sites, NFL.com, ESPN, The Athletic). Hold is the default when ADP already has the news.